Despite Protests, Thailand Says February Vote Will Go Ahead

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BANGKOK — Thailand's election commission ignored the demands of antigovernment demonstrators on Friday and said elections scheduled for next month would go ahead despite continuing efforts to sabotage them.

The announcement appeared to be a significant victory for the departing government of Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra, which has vast support in northern provinces and is seemingly certain to win the elections.

Protesters, who say they are fighting to eradicate corruption and banish Ms. Yingluck and her clan from the country, have blocked candidate registration sites over the past week and clashed violently with the police, leaving two people dead. The protesters, who on some days have numbered well over 100,000 people, also say they are planning to "shut down" Bangkok this month by cutting power to government buildings and blocking major intersections.

Before Friday's announcement, at least one member of the election commission seemed sympathetic to the protesters' demands and was urging a delay in the election. But the commission's secretary general, Phuchong Nutawong, was unequivocal on Friday in saying that the election would take place as scheduled on Feb. 2 because "it is the law."

"We will hold elections," he said. "We can confirm this to you."

It was not immediately clear what prompted the change in tone from the commission. Although many prominent Thais have remained quiet amid the highly polarized and emotional standoff between the governing party and protesters, tourism industry officials have warned of mass cancelations because of the protests and some Bangkok residents have been angered at the prospect of traffic chaos.

Thai financial markets have also been affected by the unrest, with Reuters reporting Friday that stocks were 15 percent lower than since the start of November and that the baht was trading at just under 33 to the dollar, its weakest since February 2010.

In a video released on Thursday, a respected Thai Buddhist monk issued a plea to respect the election process.

"If we don't want our country to end up racked with violence, where force is used to obtain victory, we'd better choose elections as the solution," said the monk, Phra Paisal Visalo.

Phra Paisal said other countries with more substantive divisions, such as South Africa, had successfully used elections during difficult transitions. Thais should think of democracy as "less worse" than the alternatives, he said.

The protesters, who began their demonstrations two months ago, have been assisted by members of the Democrat Party, the country's oldest political party, which announced last month that it would boycott the elections. Candidate registration has proceeded smoothly in the whole country except for one area of Bangkok and in southern Thailand, the stronghold of the Democrat Party.

The protesters' rationale for blocking the elections is that the family of Ms. Yingluck has done so much damage to the country that her party's re-election — seemingly certain if elections go ahead — would be "a return to the same corruption," in the words of the protest leader, Suthep Thaugsuban.

Mr. Suthep, a lifelong politician who himself has been embroiled in a number of corruption scandals in the past, on Thursday sought to refine his vision of the "people's council" that he hopes would replace Parliament. The council would comprise representatives of various professions as well as members appointed by senior civil servants, he said.

Mr. Suthep has vowed to block 20 major intersections with his tens of thousands of followers starting on Jan. 13. In a post to his Facebook page on Friday, Mr. Suthep said the goal was to show the current administration as a "failed government."

"Civil servants will not get to work," he said.

The governing party, Pheu Thai, has further stoked the protesters' anger by choosing Ms. Yingluck as the head of its electoral list, a decision that suggests she will continue as prime minister if the party is victorious.

The main focus of the protesters' ire is Ms. Yingluck's brother, Thaksin Shinawatra, the billionaire tycoon and former prime minister ousted in a 2006 coup. Protesters say the dominance of the Shinawatra family is subverting Thai democracy. The second candidate on the party's electoral list is Somchai Wongsawat, Mr. Thaksin's brother-in-law.

Yet the protesters' intense anger against the Shinawatra clan is more than matched by the admiration by millions of voters, especially in northeastern Thailand, a historically impoverished part of the country that underwent an economic boom in recent years. Many voters credit the northeast's rising economic fortunes to the governing party and its policies. The party has won every election since 2001, largely because of the support from the north and northeast.

"Our voice is powerful," said Kwanchai Praipana, who is based in Udon Thani and heads a red shirt faction in the northeast that supports the government and Mr. Thaksin. "We are the victims of power grabbing by feudal forces who cannot accept that we are growing and have more knowledge than in the past."

Even if the February election goes ahead, Parliament may fall short of a constitutional requirement that 95 percent of seats be filled. Protesters have blocked registration at 28 districts, all of them in southern Thailand.

Somchai Srisuthiyakorn, a member of the Election Commission, said Friday that candidates who were blocked from contesting should petition the courts.

By THOMAS FULLER 03 Jan, 2014


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Source: http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/04/world/asia/thailand.html?partner=rss&emc=rss
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